Lynn Welding's blog

AI Isn’t Coming for the Skilled Trades

Written by Lynn Welding | Apr 28, 2026 12:39:06 PM

There’s been a lot of talk lately about AI replacing jobs. It’s a fair concern—technology is changing how a lot of industries operate. But when it comes to the skilled trades, the situation looks very different.

AI isn’t taking these jobs.

Trades like welding, electrical work, plumbing, and HVAC rely on things that can’t be automated easily—if at all. The work is hands-on, often unpredictable, and requires real-time decision-making. No two job sites are exactly the same, and that matters.

Think about what these roles actually involve. You need someone who can assess a situation, adjust on the fly, and physically carry out the work with precision. Fine motor skills, spatial awareness, and experience all play a role. These aren’t tasks you can just hand over to a machine and expect consistent results.

It’s hard to imagine AI replacing someone installing an electrical panel, welding a critical component, or troubleshooting a plumbing issue inside a building. Those jobs require more than just instructions—they require judgment.

At the same time, demand for these roles isn’t going down. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, trades are expected to grow steadily over the next decade. HVAC jobs are projected to grow by 8%, electricians by 9%, plumbing by 4%, and welding by 2% between 2024 and 2034.

That’s not what an industry in decline looks like.

What is happening is that AI is starting to show up as a support tool. It can help with things like estimating, material pricing, and paperwork. That kind of support can save time and make operations more efficient, but it doesn’t replace the actual work being done.

If anything, it gives skilled workers more time to focus on the parts of the job that matter most.

So if you’re in the trades and wondering where you stand, there’s no real reason to panic. The work still needs to be done, and it still needs to be done by people.

AI might change how some parts of the job are handled, but it’s not replacing the people doing the work.